PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x990c9C3C0608058a967308dCaF6B5877036b5CcF-1758280334165

0x990c9c3c0608058a967308dcaf6b5877036b5ccf

Realised P&L
$2.2k
Volume
$101.6k
Markets traded
224
Open portfolio
$48.57

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded224
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 7? · No0.0790.060$19.08−$5.92
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 7? · No0.1490.130$14.34−$2.11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 7? · No0.0410.034$12.39−$2.61
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 7? · No0.0220.020$2.75−$0.25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 9? · No0.0470.000$0.00−$14.10
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025? · Yes0.0960.000$0.00−$26.99
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on October 14? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$45.00
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 4PM ET · Up0.0520.000$0.00−$28.49
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 28? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$3.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7AM ET · Up0.2850.000$0.00−$143.66
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on October 21? · No0.2760.000$0.00−$110.40
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 5PM ET · Down0.2820.000$0.00−$379.50
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$2.30
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February? · Yes0.0760.000$0.00−$133.48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 18? · No0.0480.000$0.00−$23.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 17:41Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 7?BUY0.1495016601$15.00
11-01 17:38Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 7?BUY0.145$1.45
11-01 17:36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 7?BUY0.0217821782$3.00
11-01 17:35Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 7?BUY0.0411630186$15.00
11-01 17:35Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 7?BUY0.0786163522$25.00
05-16 20:47Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.4849999988$200.00
02-09 14:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 15?BUY0.06823832$34.12
02-09 14:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 12?BUY0.056131525$22.45
02-06 16:00Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 11AM ETBUY0.52$56.16
02-06 15:48Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10AM ETBUY0.02$4.00
02-06 15:47Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10AM ETBUY0.04$8.00
02-06 12:46Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7AM ETBUY0.1899999969$40.00
02-06 11:37Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 11?SELL0.3218360615$104.60
02-06 11:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 8?SELL0.8490266667$254.71
02-06 11:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 8?SELL0.674486755$203.70