0x99097e77a996875085411659efa2a8906fd0d1bd
- Realised P&L
- $102.00
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,147
- Open portfolio
- $144.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,147
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.20at 0.080Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
- +$9.10at 0.090Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?
- +$8.60at 0.140Will the U.K.'s monthly inflation increase by ≤0.1% in November?
- +$7.81at 0.068Will Trump say “Transgender” this week? (November 10 - 16)
- +$7.01at 0.690Will Wesley Hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-05 12:58 | Kyrgios vs. Kovacevic: Match O/U 22.5 | SELL | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 01-05 04:00 | Lakers vs. Pelicans | SELL | 0.38 | $1.12 |
| 01-05 01:08 | Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $8.85 |
| 01-04 21:06 | Will the Republican Party win the NE-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 01-04 04:11 | U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $0.50 |
| 01-03 18:08 | Will "The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? | SELL | 0.93 | $3.33 |
| 01-03 10:47 | Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.14 |
| 01-03 06:22 | Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-1.5) | SELL | 0.21 | $0.54 |
| 01-03 02:37 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.04 |
| 01-03 00:02 | San Diego Toreros vs. San Francisco Dons | SELL | 0.84 | $1.68 |
| 01-02 13:39 | Will United States win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.05 |
| 01-02 13:02 | Will Meta dip to $590 in January? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.20 |
| 01-02 00:09 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,725-$4,850 in January? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 01-02 00:09 | Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? | SELL | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 01-01 16:30 | Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.90 |