how851116
0x990756bb079759888e16ae16cb6accad25c58a50
- Realised P&L
- $-456.88
- Volume
- $55.9k
- Markets traded
- 377
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded377
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$124.16at 0.742Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 7?
- +$119.57at 0.157Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on June 17?
- +$105.16at 0.665Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 9?
- +$70.37at 0.668Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 20?
- +$66.66at 0.435Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 04:39 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0684165478 | $1.92 |
| 08-05 04:39 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.89 | $14.46 |
| 08-05 04:37 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.818 | $40.90 |
| 08-05 03:52 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.45 | $14.40 |
| 08-05 03:42 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.04 |
| 08-05 03:04 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 08-05 03:03 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.5261538462 | $8.55 |
| 08-04 13:51 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 08-04 13:50 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0461818182 | $2.54 |
| 08-04 06:58 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0647272727 | $1.78 |
| 08-04 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.7683275503 | $22.14 |
| 08-04 05:06 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.7032386364 | $30.94 |
| 08-04 05:03 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.7211363636 | $31.73 |
| 08-04 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 04:49 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.0737234043 | $1.39 |