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Traders

how851116

0x990756bb079759888e16ae16cb6accad25c58a50

Realised P&L
$-456.88
Volume
$55.9k
Markets traded
377
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded377
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C or higher on May 13? · No0.3900.000$0.00$11.70
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 29? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$5.20
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 12? · Yes0.1060.000$0.00$3.32
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2250.000$0.00$2.25
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 14? · Yes0.6210.000$0.00$20.04
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$2.60
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 27? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$3.60
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00$44.40
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 12? · Yes0.9200.000$0.00$255.99
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 11? · Yes0.2150.000$0.00$6.29
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET · Down0.2200.000$0.00$2.20
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on May 28? · Yes0.4820.000$0.00$16.95
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on May 25? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00$4.90
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 5? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00$1.92
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$1.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 04:39Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 5?BUY0.0684165478$1.92
08-05 04:39Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?SELL0.89$14.46
08-05 04:37Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?SELL0.818$40.90
08-05 03:52Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?BUY0.45$14.40
08-05 03:42Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?BUY0.38$3.04
08-05 03:04Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?BUY0.53$5.30
08-05 03:03Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?BUY0.5261538462$8.55
08-04 13:51Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 5?BUY0.26$5.20
08-04 13:50Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 5?BUY0.0461818182$2.54
08-04 06:58Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 4?BUY0.0647272727$1.78
08-04 05:59Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 4?SELL0.7683275503$22.14
08-04 05:06Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 4?SELL0.7032386364$30.94
08-04 05:03Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 4?SELL0.7211363636$31.73
08-04 05:02Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 4?BUY0.2$1.00
08-04 04:49Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 4?SELL0.0737234043$1.39
Trader how851116 · PolyBot