how851116
0x990756bb079759888e16ae16cb6accad25c58a50
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $70.3k
- Markets traded
- 485
- Open portfolio
- $75.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded485
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$119.79at 0.751Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 7?
- +$118.68at 0.163Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on June 17?
- +$102.68at 0.673Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 9?
- +$69.18at 0.782Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 29?
- +$68.63at 0.676Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 04:14 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.87 | $30.45 |
| 10-01 04:13 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.44 |
| 10-01 04:13 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 09-30 19:36 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.00 |
| 09-30 19:34 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.5 | $6.00 |
| 09-30 19:34 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 09-29 20:16 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.1784375 | $5.71 |
| 09-29 20:10 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.77 |
| 09-29 20:10 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.1468728522 | $1.28 |
| 09-27 16:48 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.80 |
| 09-27 16:48 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.29 | $3.80 |
| 09-27 16:47 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.82 | $5.74 |
| 09-27 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.8095652174 | $93.10 |
| 09-27 05:06 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.11 | $3.12 |
| 09-27 02:39 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.55 | $10.08 |