0x99029f8f13588bb15a4efd6f6eae0218f63c731a
0x99029f8f13588bb15a4efd6f6eae0218f63c731a
- Realised P&L
- $7.04
- Volume
- $62.93
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $8.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.86at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
- +$1.92at 0.371Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?
- +$1.12at 0.500Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$0.66at 0.629Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$0.55at 0.671Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 07:01 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 22:41 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 14:03 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 05:49 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 21:47 | Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in September 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 13:10 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30? | BUY | 0.6699996918 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 05:10 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:29 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:21 | Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 03:19 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.7599998895 | $1.10 |
| 09-23 19:19 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.10 |
| 09-23 11:18 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999911 | $1.10 |
| 09-23 03:15 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999149 | $1.10 |
| 09-22 15:12 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.10 |
| 09-22 07:12 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.659999868 | $1.10 |