PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x990143A127b59B52023f36EE9aE2cae854b6Fb07-1769096877194

0x990143a127b59b52023f36ee9ae2cae854b6fb07

Realised P&L
$-37.47
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$16.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CDU win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.2000.120$6.00$4.00
Will Grüne win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.1500.135$5.40$0.60
Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.5300.515$5.15$0.15
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$10.00
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-23? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$44.36
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET · Up0.4700.000$0.00$3.89
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 16:39Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETBUY0.4699999855$3.89
09-14 17:40Will CDU win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.2$10.00
05-03 15:47Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.057$5.70
05-03 15:47Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.206$20.60
04-23 19:35Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-23?BUY0.3$31.01
04-09 10:43Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?SELL0.7906968$19.77
04-08 21:09Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?BUY0.2599999839$9.56
04-06 19:08Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.0569999948$10.00
04-04 18:30Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)SELL0.999$32.57
04-04 16:42Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)BUY0.7487384821$24.23
04-03 21:15Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03?SELL0.99$24.60
04-03 18:50Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03?BUY0.5699999964$13.98
03-25 21:07Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jiri LeheckaBUY0.1099999913$10.00
03-24 21:56Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.0699999939$10.00
03-11 15:49Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.015$1.50