PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BagSecurer

0x98f76e56dba215091223a70420707071b5f8e2a4

Realised P&L
$-903.65
Volume
$156.3k
Markets traded
282
Open portfolio
$454.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded282
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? · Yes0.6900.675$135.00$3.00
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6700.645$129.00$5.00
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.8400.838$83.75$0.25
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? · Yes0.4000.195$58.50$61.50
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September? · Yes0.3900.240$48.00$30.00
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$3.85
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.67
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$8.00
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$3.85
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? · Yes0.3650.000$0.00$73.04
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.67
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.67
Lakers vs. Rockets · Rockets0.6270.000$0.00$42.60
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.67
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$34.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 01:48Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.921$184.20
09-07 10:29Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 8?BUY0.96$192.00
08-29 03:47Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?BUY0.95$95.00
08-24 05:30Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?SELL0.04$4.00
08-18 03:51Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?SELL0.3098504925$61.97
08-16 10:26Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.51$51.00
08-14 14:03Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?BUY0.89$89.00
08-14 12:20Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?BUY0.974$292.20
08-14 12:18Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.9798510638$230.26
08-14 12:15Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.91$182.00
08-12 22:53Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?BUY0.996$298.80
08-12 22:53Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?BUY0.971$97.10
08-12 22:52Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?BUY0.971$291.30
08-11 14:54Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.27$135.00
08-11 14:39Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?BUY0.22$22.00