Asipbajrami
0x98f39ae5ae174a873f60f4979620eb6d1385244d
- Realised P&L
- $90.86
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Markets traded
- 145
- Open portfolio
- $49.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded145
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.646 | $33.47 | +$30.97 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.555 | $14.11 | −$0.89 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.095 | $1.62 | −$2.65 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026? · Yes | 0.189 | 0.003 | $0.07 | −$4.93 |
| Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 4 Real Madrid CF? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.40 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.103 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.53at 0.442Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?
- +$31.78at 0.490Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?
- +$23.71at 0.219Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?
- +$21.33at 0.619Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
- +$20.73at 0.195Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 02:53 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.882 | $27.38 |
| 10-28 02:51 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999957 | $15.00 |
| 10-28 02:49 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $13.04 |
| 10-27 04:48 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $10.43 |
| 10-26 22:21 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.636999982 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 22:01 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.68 |
| 10-25 19:42 | Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 4 Real Madrid CF? | BUY | 0.0219999997 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 05:36 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.7286893555 | $10.06 |
| 10-24 22:05 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 10-24 22:05 | Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.40 |
| 10-24 02:35 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $9.79 |
| 10-24 02:35 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.753 | $19.74 |
| 10-23 04:31 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.605 | $10.43 |
| 10-22 04:00 | Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $4.27 |
| 10-22 03:59 | Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.0804950121 | $1.00 |