PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

richards77

0x98f115a677369800b54b847fde535a8672682b3f

Realised P&L
$-8.10
Volume
$76.26
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$2.13

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 19-25? · Yes0.4600.425$2.13−$0.17
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$1.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? · Yes0.4610.000$0.00−$1.30
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$1.10
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July? · No0.5100.000$0.00−$2.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? · No0.6200.000$0.00−$2.40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? · No0.4000.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? · Down0.7300.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? · Yes0.3880.000$0.00−$1.94
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3960.000$0.00−$1.60
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$2.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 02:24Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 19-25?BUY0.46$2.30
10-16 04:24Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?BUY0.4$2.00
10-15 02:10Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.77$3.04
09-26 13:55Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?BUY0.6199999587$2.40
09-22 05:59Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.4799999192$1.90
08-15 14:59Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?BUY0.56$2.80
08-12 09:07Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?BUY0.59$2.95
08-03 06:49Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3?BUY0.7299999087$2.00
07-29 03:23US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.5099999444$2.20
07-14 03:53Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?BUY0.5099999566$2.00
07-10 05:18Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3959998545$1.60
06-24 03:17Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.50
06-08 05:19Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?BUY0.4609999096$1.30
06-03 04:52Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?BUY0.388$1.94
05-20 03:19Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY0.22$1.10