0x98e8589107a0592646221e029d80cf025aa9915b
0x98e8589107a0592646221e029d80cf025aa9915b
- Realised P&L
- $-0.81
- Volume
- $353.13
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $13.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.33at 0.650Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
- +$4.61at 0.308Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?
- +$3.71at 0.350US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$2.67at 0.278Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $502.50 Week of September 28 2026?
- +$2.59at 0.442Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 22:46 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:32 | Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 05:10 | Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $3.0B? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 21:10 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 13:09 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 04:38 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 18:16 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 17:59 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:47 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.5609998149 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 00:27 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 15:52 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2769999465 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 07:50 | Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 23:50 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 15:49 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 15:40 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |