0x98daC0b8008148211B5cB71Ef61106e7Fae091b8-1775467776400
0x98dac0b8008148211b5cb71ef61106e7fae091b8
- Realised P&L
- $23.19
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 171
- Open portfolio
- $16.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded171
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.84at 0.013Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$6.69at 0.130Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 20, 2026?
- +$6.14at 0.140Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 25, 2026?
- +$5.67at 0.150Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 30, 2026?
- +$4.26at 0.190Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 16, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 18:03 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 18:03 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 18:03 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 18:02 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 18:02 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 18:02 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 18:02 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 18:01 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 18:01 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 02:35 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 27? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 02:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 02:22 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 02:21 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 02:21 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 12:52 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |