0x98daC0b8008148211B5cB71Ef61106e7Fae091b8-1775467776400
0x98dac0b8008148211b5cb71ef61106e7fae091b8
- Realised P&L
- $23.77
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 201
- Open portfolio
- $18.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded201
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.84at 0.013Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$6.66at 0.135Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 20, 2026?
- +$6.11at 0.145Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?
- +$6.11at 0.145Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 25, 2026?
- +$5.63at 0.155Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 5, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 02:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 01:59 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0610121561 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 01:59 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kathy Hochul by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 01:48 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? | BUY | 0.0139999861 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 01:46 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 01:45 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 01:45 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 01:45 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 01:45 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 01:45 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 16:47 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 16:46 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2489998289 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 23:24 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 23:24 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 23:24 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |