0x98d9ae0e762a1f38ee76b64728eb2ac4de3365c9
0x98d9ae0e762a1f38ee76b64728eb2ac4de3365c9
- Realised P&L
- $-11.2k
- Volume
- $53.6k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $803.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-21.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samsun: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Carole Monnet · Lucrezia Stefanini | 0.610 | 0.996 | $803.61 | +$311.19 |
| Kentucky vs. South Carolina · South Carolina | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$570.98 |
| Sabalenka vs. Ostapenko: Match O/U 22.5 · Over | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$144.36 |
| Texas Tech vs. Colorado · Colorado | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.25 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$193.05 |
| Chiefs vs. Raiders: 1H Moneyline · Chiefs | 0.569 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$436.61 |
| Baylor vs. Arizona State · Arizona State | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$184.62 |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuel · Toby Samuel | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.84 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics · Athletics | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$438.57 |
| Villena: Patrick Brady vs Mili Poljicak · Patrick Brady | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$260.42 |
| Georgia Southern vs. Coastal Carolina · Coastal Carolina | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$489.71 |
| Jaguars vs. Bengals · Bengals | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$763.03 |
| West Virginia vs. Iowa State · West Virginia | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$245.30 |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer · Elias Ymer | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$898.31 |
| China Open: Sinja Kraus vs Dayana Yastremska · Dayana Yastremska | 0.542 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$367.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.571Wimbledon WTA: Serena Williams vs Maya Joint
- +$801.12at 0.492Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris
- +$717.07at 0.412Suzhou: Hanyu Guo vs Aliona Falei
- +$636.31at 0.524Syracuse vs. UConn
- +$490.97at 0.494Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 13:18 | Samsun: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Carole Monnet | BUY | 0.6099999997 | $492.42 |
| 10-06 02:35 | Suzhou: Hanyu Guo vs Aliona Falei | BUY | 0.4 | $487.80 |
| 10-06 02:17 | Spread: Falcons (-10.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $523.42 |
| 10-06 01:13 | Spread: Lightning (-1.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $27.05 |
| 10-06 01:12 | Falcons vs. Saints | BUY | 0.33 | $471.46 |
| 10-05 05:02 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz | BUY | 0.4799999974 | $29.72 |
| 10-05 05:02 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz | BUY | 0.48 | $344.16 |
| 10-05 05:02 | China Open: Donna Vekic vs Iga Swiatek | SELL | 0.18 | $409.09 |
| 10-05 02:56 | Panthers vs. Ducks | SELL | 0.999 | $798.14 |
| 10-05 02:42 | Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | SELL | 0.19 | $428.82 |
| 10-05 00:37 | Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.64 | $1.4k |
| 10-04 23:47 | Utah vs. Rangers | BUY | 0.5 | $1.9k |
| 10-04 21:45 | Chiefs vs. Raiders | BUY | 0.46 | $489.36 |
| 10-04 20:21 | Chiefs vs. Raiders: 1H Moneyline | BUY | 0.64 | $6.20 |
| 10-04 20:21 | Chiefs vs. Raiders: 1H Moneyline | BUY | 0.64 | $237.01 |