cysg0d
0x98d19af81c6fafc7dda7f958f944dc8a4c71019a
- Realised P&L
- $881.05
- Volume
- $55.2k
- Markets traded
- 628
- Open portfolio
- $8.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded628
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.435 | $8.70 | −$1.70 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 11? · Yes | 0.384 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C or below on September 29? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 12? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 3? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.55 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$322.00at 0.195Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 23?
- +$174.58at 0.189Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on February 20?
- +$140.61at 0.212Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 20?
- +$88.72at 0.304Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 17?
- +$82.37at 0.274Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 15:39 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 10-06 11:37 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.00 |
| 10-05 13:41 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.5299999943 | $3.72 |
| 10-05 11:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.73 |
| 10-04 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $2.50 |
| 09-28 13:56 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C or below on September 29? | BUY | 0.0034185047 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 14:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 14:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 01:51 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 03:23 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.3838771593 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 03:23 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 11? | SELL | 0.42 | $5.08 |
| 09-11 03:23 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.4133857958 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 03:22 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 11? | SELL | 0.38 | $7.93 |
| 09-10 23:41 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.4552083163 | $9.50 |
| 09-07 08:38 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 7? | SELL | 0.998 | $9.78 |