juinbyu
0x98c0ef5ea3c50a5fabfd89601971bc3a89d372cb
- Realised P&L
- $3.27
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $261.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? · No | 0.983 | 1.000 | $101.00 | +$1.72 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat? · Yes | 0.956 | 0.938 | $84.38 | −$1.66 |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30? · No | 0.981 | 1.000 | $51.00 | +$0.97 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.945 | $25.58 | +$0.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.58at 0.960Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
- +$0.46at 0.983Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
- +$0.15at 0.951Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat?
- +$0.15at 0.966Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?
- +$0.10at 0.984Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-09 12:33 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.96 | $19.20 |