Stc420
0x98c04d5997f94032f17751c1046ddc0678696f9c
- Realised P&L
- $260.82
- Volume
- $24.0k
- Markets traded
- 163
- Open portfolio
- $2.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded163
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$421.16at 0.041Solana Up or Down on November 20?
- +$85.22at 0.132Bitcoin Up or Down on November 17?
- +$65.99at 0.130Bitcoin Up or Down on November 20?
- +$50.16at 0.164Ethereum Up or Down on November 20?
- +$46.44at 0.290Pelicans vs. Mavericks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 11:44 | Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.00 |
| 10-07 11:41 | US plague travel ban on Russia in 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 11:01 | Solana Up or Down on October 7? | SELL | 0.0185100927 | $0.34 |
| 10-07 09:49 | Solana Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.0545454526 | $1.00 |
| 05-28 06:21 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 May 25-31? | BUY | 0.022999989 | $2.00 |
| 05-28 06:20 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 May 25-31? | BUY | 0.0293454784 | $5.00 |
| 05-28 06:20 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 25-31? | BUY | 0.0393700787 | $5.00 |
| 05-28 06:18 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on May 28? | BUY | 0.0034300611 | $1.00 |
| 05-28 06:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 May 25-31? | BUY | 0.0107927575 | $5.00 |
| 05-28 06:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31? | BUY | 0.0230000001 | $5.00 |
| 05-28 06:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 25-31? | BUY | 0.0619009473 | $5.00 |
| 04-13 11:36 | MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 7-13? | BUY | 0.0132881536 | $1.72 |
| 04-13 11:33 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX? | SELL | 0.0323706035 | $4.11 |
| 04-13 11:33 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE? | SELL | 0.011 | $1.31 |
| 04-10 19:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.93 |