PolyBot

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Traders

Stc420

0x98c04d5997f94032f17751c1046ddc0678696f9c

Realised P&L
$260.82
Volume
$24.0k
Markets traded
163
Open portfolio
$2.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded163
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? · Yes0.1200.055$1.38−$1.63
US plague travel ban on Russia in 2026? · Yes0.1200.095$0.79−$0.21
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$5.00
Hornets vs. Pacers · Hornets0.5500.000$0.00−$5.00
Canucks vs. Blue Jackets · Canucks0.4100.000$0.00−$5.00
Solana Up or Down - January 2, 4PM ET · Down0.0850.000$0.00−$9.00
Solana Up or Down on November 27? · Down0.0600.000$0.00−$15.00
Nuggets vs. Pelicans · Pelicans0.1000.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 25-31? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET · Down0.4360.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Alan Keating be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$8.93
Solana Up or Down on December 1? · Up0.0250.000$0.00−$5.00
Ethereum Up or Down on December 1? · Up0.0160.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 19? · Up0.0290.000$0.00−$3.13
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET · Up0.4360.000$0.00−$9.93

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 11:44Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?BUY0.12$3.00
10-07 11:41US plague travel ban on Russia in 2026?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
10-07 11:01Solana Up or Down on October 7?SELL0.0185100927$0.34
10-07 09:49Solana Up or Down on October 7?BUY0.0545454526$1.00
05-28 06:21Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 May 25-31?BUY0.022999989$2.00
05-28 06:20Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 May 25-31?BUY0.0293454784$5.00
05-28 06:20Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 25-31?BUY0.0393700787$5.00
05-28 06:18Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on May 28?BUY0.0034300611$1.00
05-28 06:17Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 May 25-31?BUY0.0107927575$5.00
05-28 06:17Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31?BUY0.0230000001$5.00
05-28 06:17Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 25-31?BUY0.0619009473$5.00
04-13 11:36MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 7-13?BUY0.0132881536$1.72
04-13 11:33Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?SELL0.0323706035$4.11
04-13 11:33Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?SELL0.011$1.31
04-10 19:01Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?SELL0.07$1.93