PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x98c03B8E5148c131B20ABb0446ea627E1f4B1a58-1768853127679

0x98c03b8e5148c131b20abb0446ea627e1f4b1a58

Realised P&L
$-42.32
Volume
$5.3k
Markets traded
155
Open portfolio
$83.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded155
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4200.355$42.26−$7.74
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? · Yes0.3490.455$26.07+$6.07
Will Hili Tropper be the next Israeli Minister of Justice? · Yes0.0800.120$15.00+$5.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$10.00
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes0.2870.000$0.00−$10.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.1970.000$0.00−$10.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$10.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 05:48Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.347$12.30
10-27 09:45Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5639999985$20.00
10-25 17:51Will Hili Tropper be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?BUY0.08$10.00
09-27 08:54Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?BUY0.3491271777$20.00
08-22 14:25Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6899999968$50.00
07-24 13:44Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.08$1.82
07-19 21:19Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?BUY0.4399999894$10.00
07-19 19:03Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.4299999931$10.00
07-19 19:03Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.3249999862$10.00
07-15 20:53Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?SELL0.11$3.14
07-15 19:15Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.2924999809$10.00
07-15 19:13Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.3499999842$10.00
07-14 19:33Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.1974999857$10.00
07-14 19:28Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY0.2874999853$10.00
07-10 20:56Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?SELL0.935$23.25