0x98c03B8E5148c131B20ABb0446ea627E1f4B1a58-1768853127679
0x98c03b8e5148c131b20abb0446ea627e1f4b1a58
- Realised P&L
- $-42.32
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 155
- Open portfolio
- $83.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded155
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.355 | $42.26 | −$7.74 |
| Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? · Yes | 0.349 | 0.455 | $26.07 | +$6.07 |
| Will Hili Tropper be the next Israeli Minister of Justice? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.120 | $15.00 | +$5.00 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes | 0.287 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.197 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.07at 0.700US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$41.24at 0.434Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$28.84at 0.423Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$23.87at 0.308Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
- +$23.43at 0.315Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 05:48 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.347 | $12.30 |
| 10-27 09:45 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5639999985 | $20.00 |
| 10-25 17:51 | Will Hili Tropper be the next Israeli Minister of Justice? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 08:54 | Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? | BUY | 0.3491271777 | $20.00 |
| 08-22 14:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6899999968 | $50.00 |
| 07-24 13:44 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.82 |
| 07-19 21:19 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 19:03 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 19:03 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3249999862 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 20:53 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL | 0.11 | $3.14 |
| 07-15 19:15 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.2924999809 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 19:13 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 19:33 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.1974999857 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 19:28 | Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2874999853 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 20:56 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | SELL | 0.935 | $23.25 |