PolyBot

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Traders

nottheworst2

0x98bd78e67b5c40f7f2e40d79d5f1db719ee3781e

Realised P&L
$-818.73
Volume
$73.1k
Markets traded
731
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded731
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Fulham be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · No0.7390.745$208.61+$1.70
Chargers vs. Seahawks · Seahawks0.7580.755$173.68−$0.61
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? · No0.7340.732$160.93−$0.55
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.5270.615$92.25+$13.25
Purdue vs. Illinois · Illinois0.7700.775$81.38+$0.53
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No0.8500.885$75.22+$2.98
Colts vs. Commanders · Commanders0.3600.345$40.26−$1.75
Will the Washington Commanders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? · No0.7900.805$40.25+$0.75
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0210.032$33.07+$10.98
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · No0.2950.305$30.20+$0.97
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4600.635$25.40+$7.00
Alabama vs. Mississippi State · Alabama0.6700.665$24.61−$0.18
Will Ipswich Town be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · No0.6180.600$19.50−$0.60
Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026? · Yes0.0870.185$19.11+$10.11
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes0.1620.195$17.56+$3.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 23:20Chargers vs. SeahawksBUY0.76$133.57
10-02 20:22Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?BUY0.31$15.50
10-02 15:17Chargers vs. SeahawksBUY0.75$40.72
10-02 15:12Alabama vs. Mississippi StateBUY0.67$24.79
10-02 15:07Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.87$76.56
10-02 04:49North Texas vs. TulsaBUY0.4$35.20
10-02 04:12Colts vs. CommandersBUY0.36$42.01
10-02 04:08Purdue vs. IllinoisBUY0.77$80.85
10-01 22:52Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.18$8.10
10-01 22:23Will Coventry City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?SELL0.63$37.80
10-01 22:21Penn State vs. NorthwesternBUY0.57$16.30
10-01 22:11Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.19$1.90
10-01 20:24Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?BUY0.22$3.30
10-01 20:21Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.18$12.42
10-01 19:40Will Greece vs. Netherlands end in a draw?BUY0.87$47.85