0x98bd31da649e18766186cc66f9f2547aabc84d09
0x98bd31da649e18766186cc66f9f2547aabc84d09
- Realised P&L
- $10.15
- Volume
- $425.63
- Markets traded
- 128
- Open portfolio
- $4.25
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded128
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.605 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
| Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q3 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 6% to 8%? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.240 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| Abbott Laboratories (ABT) Q3 comparable sales growth 6% to 8%? · No | 0.300 | 0.201 | $0.67 | −$0.33 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.160 | $0.33 | −$0.67 |
| United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.100 | $0.27 | −$0.73 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026? · Yes | 0.252 | 0.063 | $0.25 | −$0.75 |
| United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.135 | $0.23 | −$0.77 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 19 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.095 | $0.19 | −$0.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.44at 0.218Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
- +$4.18at 0.331Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$3.51at 0.227Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$3.13at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.422Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 03:38 | Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q3 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 6% to 8%? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 07:35 | United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 23:34 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 15:34 | United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 07:33 | Abbott Laboratories (ABT) Q3 comparable sales growth 6% to 8%? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 23:30 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 15:28 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 05:16 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 20:27 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 11:38 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 02:01 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.6319997927 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 18:01 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.251999998 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 09:38 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 01:11 | Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 17:09 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |