0x98Bc1181863e61651e22c3EFC28A1B03dc9E90aE-1769504818554
0x98bc1181863e61651e22c3efc28a1b03dc9e90ae
- Realised P&L
- $-320.19
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $3.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.005 | $3.94 | −$0.36 |
| Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on February 2? · Down | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$370.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.02at 0.490XRP Up or Down - May 25, 3AM ET
- +$0.43at 0.986Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 22?
- +$0.29at 0.979Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 23?
- +$0.29at 0.991Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?
- +$0.22at 0.983Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 06:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.60 |
| 07-31 06:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.60 |
| 07-30 06:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 30? | BUY | 0.996 | $12.90 |
| 07-30 06:30 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 30? | BUY | 0.996999971 | $33.90 |
| 07-29 05:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.9929999996 | $13.50 |
| 07-29 05:21 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 29? | BUY | 0.9989999947 | $31.80 |
| 07-27 07:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 27? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.60 |
| 07-27 07:46 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.40 |
| 07-24 06:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.90 |
| 07-24 06:01 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 24? | BUY | 0.9989999945 | $30.80 |
| 07-23 05:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 23? | BUY | 0.9789999996 | $13.60 |
| 07-23 05:37 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 23? | BUY | 0.996 | $31.80 |
| 07-22 06:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.60 |
| 07-22 06:34 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 22? | BUY | 0.986 | $30.50 |
| 07-18 05:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on July 18? | BUY | 0.9989999562 | $13.40 |