tanaji
0x98b1c773ef33ec37c1b58ba5323b449893503428
- Realised P&L
- $-606.85
- Volume
- $10.2k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $311.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No | 0.325 | 0.805 | $173.39 | +$103.39 |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No | 0.472 | 0.880 | $93.16 | +$43.16 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.080 | $20.00 | −$30.00 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? · No | 0.190 | 0.075 | $19.76 | −$30.24 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.028 | $5.50 | −$44.50 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.287 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.48 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? · No | 0.545 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.08at 0.579Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$62.78at 0.500Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.57at 0.986US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
- +$-2.75at 0.510Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$-4.08at 0.432Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 13:31 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.1099999976 | $37.48 |
| 06-11 13:29 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.1897707542 | $50.00 |
| 06-11 13:29 | Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $50.00 |
| 06-11 13:28 | Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $48.81 |
| 06-11 13:28 | Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999953 | $50.00 |
| 06-11 13:27 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2869999973 | $50.00 |
| 06-11 13:26 | Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.999 | $195.38 |
| 05-22 00:48 | Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.0032575189 | $2.78 |
| 05-14 01:48 | Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0219999988 | $18.77 |
| 05-14 01:45 | Epstein client list released by June 30? | SELL | 0.0280999 | $14.05 |
| 05-14 01:43 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? | SELL | 0.042 | $5.93 |
| 04-30 17:27 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? | BUY | 0.1629166614 | $23.00 |
| 04-30 17:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $50.00 |
| 04-30 17:24 | Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.472313569 | $50.00 |
| 04-30 17:23 | Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.3249859288 | $70.00 |