PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x98af93ada2bf25c60b8b42a4d119ed996ceb2be4

Realised P&L
$20.79
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$779.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.4840.840$127.60+$54.09
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? · No0.7450.968$97.20+$22.41
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes0.1200.740$88.06+$73.80
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.5760.900$75.60+$27.22
Will Elon Musk attend the 2026 State of the Union address? · No0.7741.000$70.00+$15.78
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open? · No0.5601.000$65.00+$28.60
Will Netherlands win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? · No0.9211.000$43.90+$3.46
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? · Yes0.8601.000$35.00+$4.90
Will Sergio Garcia win the 2026 Masters tournament? · No0.9111.000$32.31+$2.88
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1570.100$30.70$17.58
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? · No0.8571.000$30.00+$4.28
Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026? · No0.5450.565$11.87+$0.42
Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027? · No0.7500.962$11.54+$2.54
Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am? · No0.8401.000$11.00+$1.76
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · No0.5800.957$10.52+$4.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-18 19:23Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?BUY0.75$15.00
06-18 18:52Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?BUY0.7497500833$15.00
06-18 18:21Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?BUY0.7384354471$15.00
06-17 04:58Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.15$3.15
06-17 04:26Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.16$3.36
06-15 14:38Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.19$4.37
06-15 13:40Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.19$4.75
06-15 12:42Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.19$4.75
06-15 11:16Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.19$4.56
06-12 18:18Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.15$3.15
06-07 17:30Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?BUY0.7496701451$15.00
05-21 02:32Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?BUY0.7367013329$14.80
05-09 12:57Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?BUY0.2012595496$4.20
05-09 08:22Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?BUY0.13$1.43
05-09 07:56Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?BUY0.13$1.43