PolyBot

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Traders

Urus12

0x98aeed3fc3acd797ee6754d7bf61a5dd9a025bd2

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$38.6k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$953.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum hit $4k by June 30, 2027? · No0.6440.790$953.55+$176.66
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00−$5.74
Will Trump launch a coin before the election? · No0.0170.000$0.00−$159.99
Iran strike on Israel before November? · No0.2000.000$0.00−$321.00
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$28.70
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$86.10
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00−$10.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 10:13Will Ethereum hit $4k by March 31, 2027?SELL0.66$66.00
09-18 15:24Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2026?SELL0.976$365.59
09-15 09:06Will Ethereum hit $4k by March 31, 2027?BUY0.72$115.20
08-28 16:45Will Ethereum hit $4k by June 30, 2027?BUY0.68$68.00
08-28 16:40Will Ethereum hit $4k by June 30, 2027?SELL0.67$23.56
08-28 16:39Will Ethereum hit $4k by June 30, 2027?BUY0.651144756$200.00
08-18 15:07Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.14$28.70
08-18 14:21Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.16$32.80
08-18 13:36Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.42$86.10
11-06 08:08Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?SELL0.994$4.3k
11-04 21:02Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.5789999999$2.5k
10-17 08:43Will Trump launch a coin before the election?BUY0.006$10.00
10-16 15:01Will Trump launch a coin before the election?BUY0.032$50.00
10-16 14:46Will Trump launch a coin before the election?BUY0.016$50.00
10-16 14:45Will Trump launch a coin before the election?BUY0.015$50.00