0x98AE98dE672394EA3459f1BA93c467F9C3A2f02D-1770367892632
0x98ae98de672394ea3459f1ba93c467f9c3a2f02d
- Realised P&L
- $-81.23
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $13.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December? · Yes | 0.212 | 0.195 | $13.76 | −$1.24 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March? · Yes | 0.104 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6? · Down | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-20 12:07 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 03-18 12:00 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December? | BUY | 0.2124987826 | $15.00 |
| 03-18 11:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March? | BUY | 0.1044773196 | $10.00 |
| 03-18 11:58 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $5.00 |
| 02-23 12:03 | US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 02-06 13:24 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 02-06 09:05 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 02-06 09:04 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 02-06 09:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February? | BUY | 0.0489999955 | $10.00 |
| 02-06 09:03 | US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |