goatovic
0x98ab923b6f41a0a504c5d8296a74e7fa85d404ea
- Realised P&L
- $14.27
- Volume
- $195.89
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $19.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.165 | $4.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.135 | $4.82 | −$0.18 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.520 | 0.555 | $3.20 | +$0.20 |
| Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score · No | 0.330 | 0.325 | $2.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.255 | $2.32 | −$0.68 |
| Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.032 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.085 | $0.51 | −$0.69 |
| Curitiba: Fernanda Labrana vs Gabriela Ce · Fernanda Labrana | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart · Xinran Sun | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.328 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.69at 0.610Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$5.52at 0.442Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur
- +$-2.06at 0.492Curitiba: Alice Tubello vs Jazmin Ortenzi
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 10:49 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 10:49 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 10:37 | Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart | BUY | 0.4599999034 | $2.00 |
| 10-30 20:55 | Curitiba: Alice Tubello vs Jazmin Ortenzi | SELL | 0.26 | $2.22 |
| 10-30 20:41 | Curitiba: Alice Tubello vs Jazmin Ortenzi | BUY | 0.4799999624 | $4.09 |
| 10-30 20:37 | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $3.00 |
| 10-30 20:31 | Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.329999967 | $3.00 |
| 10-30 20:26 | Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0329999992 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 16:27 | Curitiba: Fernanda Labrana vs Gabriela Ce | BUY | 0.2199999941 | $3.00 |
| 10-26 16:21 | Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur | SELL | 0.94 | $0.09 |
| 10-26 16:13 | Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur | SELL | 0.92 | $10.60 |
| 10-26 15:56 | Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 15:54 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3279999879 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 15:53 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.327 | $10.32 |
| 10-26 10:18 | Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026? | BUY | 0.329999967 | $3.00 |