PolyBot

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Traders

0x98A84852204D183557eCBA8f6Ee03419392059b0-1755311847367

0x98a84852204d183557ecba8f6ee03419392059b0

Realised P&L
$193.38
Volume
$7.4k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$38.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by October 31, 2026? · No0.9560.835$30.56$4.44
Evo Morales arrested by September 30? · No0.9710.744$7.67$2.33
Will Sergio Oliver Rodríguez win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$25.00
Will turnout be between 5.0 million and 5.4 million in the 2025 Bolivia Presidential Election second round? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$3.00
Will turnout be between 4.6 million and 5.0 million in the 2025 Bolivia Presidential Election second round? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$6.60
Maduro out in 2025? · Yes0.1770.000$0.00$50.00
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election? · Yes0.1150.000$0.00$5.00
Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by June 30? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$15.00
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$5.00
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 0–5%? · Yes0.2410.000$0.00$48.00
Will Venezuela win on 2025-09-09? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 15:14Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9564467976$35.00
08-21 18:16Evo Morales arrested by September 30?BUY0.9706045415$10.00
06-19 23:02Evo Morales arrested by June 30?BUY0.9262114807$100.00
05-23 04:38Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by June 30?BUY0.2099999902$15.00
03-23 23:48Will Richard Andrés Gómez win the 2026 La Paz gubernatorial election?SELL0.002$0.04
03-23 03:22Will Alejandro Mostajo Rueda win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?SELL0.002$0.05
03-23 03:22Will José Carlos Sánchez Verazaín win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?SELL0.001$0.24
03-23 03:22Will Xavier Iturralde win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?SELL0.001$0.36
03-23 01:10Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?BUY0.7689999923$10.00
03-22 21:24Will Richard Andrés Gómez win the 2026 La Paz gubernatorial election?BUY0.1690413224$3.00
03-22 21:17Will Sergio Oliver Rodríguez win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?BUY0.3799999945$25.00
03-18 01:22Will Alejandro Mostajo Rueda win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?BUY0.1274719799$3.00
03-18 01:19Will José Carlos Sánchez Verazaín win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?BUY0.0041875755$1.00
03-18 01:18Will Manuel Saavedra win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?BUY0.9289999995$100.00
03-18 01:15Will Xavier Iturralde win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?BUY0.0336711425$12.00