PolyBot

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Traders

Fraus

0x98a3b6c7ac8d9802f2e729131ddb6c7f627d5aa5

Realised P&L
$-620.65
Volume
$43.9k
Markets traded
816
Open portfolio
$11.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded816
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Norway win on 2026-10-04? · Yes0.3320.235$11.33−$4.67
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET · Up0.3160.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET · Up0.3540.000$0.00−$3.00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET · Up0.3710.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET · Down0.2560.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET · Up0.2340.000$0.00−$4.00
Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET · Up0.4130.000$0.00−$12.00
Solana Up or Down - August 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET · Down0.2500.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET · Up0.3600.000$0.00−$5.00
Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET · Down0.2510.000$0.00−$6.38
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET · Up0.3300.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET · Down0.0600.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET · Down0.3800.000$0.00−$7.00
Solana Up or Down - August 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET · Up0.3700.000$0.00−$5.00
Solana Up or Down - July 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET · Down0.3930.000$0.00−$8.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 04:20Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETSELL0.84$43.61
09-29 04:16Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETBUY0.5199999992$27.00
09-29 04:13Solana Up or Down - September 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSELL0.2048007681$4.27
09-29 04:12Solana Up or Down - September 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETBUY0.2399999923$5.00
09-29 04:10Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSELL0.36$19.61
09-29 04:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETBUY0.495716641$27.00
09-29 03:55Solana Up or Down - September 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSELL0.8$42.74
09-29 03:54Solana Up or Down - September 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.5053947615$27.00
09-29 03:52Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSELL0.31$19.93
09-29 03:46Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.4199999953$27.00
09-29 03:39Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETBUY0.2799999978$5.00
09-29 03:39Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETSELL0.1$3.85
09-29 03:35Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETBUY0.4399999754$5.00
09-29 03:30Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETBUY0.2599999964$10.00
09-29 03:20Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETSELL0.1$3.00