Fraus
0x98a3b6c7ac8d9802f2e729131ddb6c7f627d5aa5
- Realised P&L
- $-620.65
- Volume
- $43.9k
- Markets traded
- 816
- Open portfolio
- $11.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded816
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$98.06at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
- +$75.00at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
- +$70.26at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
- +$68.97at 0.736Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$61.76at 0.764Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 04:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET | SELL | 0.84 | $43.61 |
| 09-29 04:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999992 | $27.00 |
| 09-29 04:13 | Solana Up or Down - September 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | SELL | 0.2048007681 | $4.27 |
| 09-29 04:12 | Solana Up or Down - September 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 04:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | SELL | 0.36 | $19.61 |
| 09-29 04:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.495716641 | $27.00 |
| 09-29 03:55 | Solana Up or Down - September 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.8 | $42.74 |
| 09-29 03:54 | Solana Up or Down - September 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5053947615 | $27.00 |
| 09-29 03:52 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.31 | $19.93 |
| 09-29 03:46 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4199999953 | $27.00 |
| 09-29 03:39 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 03:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | SELL | 0.1 | $3.85 |
| 09-29 03:35 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999754 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 03:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999964 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 03:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | SELL | 0.1 | $3.00 |