0x989B742f5754BCa8419b32E6b0d866DeAfdF2fC3-1782049259869
0x989b742f5754bca8419b32e6b0d866deafdf2fc3
- Realised P&L
- $-364.36
- Volume
- $25.0k
- Markets traded
- 741
- Open portfolio
- $576.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded741
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.49at 0.390Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
- +$63.59at 0.905Will Keith Kellogg visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
- +$59.95at 0.943Will Andy Burnham visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
- +$57.86at 0.634Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
- +$48.03at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 21:26 | Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1859655028 | $49.98 |
| 10-23 20:59 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? | BUY | 0.59 | $499.73 |
| 10-15 18:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 10-15 18:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 10-01 17:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 16:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 16:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 16:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 16:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 16:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 16:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 15:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 15:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 15:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 15:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |