PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x989B742f5754BCa8419b32E6b0d866DeAfdF2fC3-1782049259869

0x989b742f5754bca8419b32e6b0d866deafdf2fc3

Realised P&L
$-364.36
Volume
$25.0k
Markets traded
741
Open portfolio
$576.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded741
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? · No0.5900.585$495.50−$4.24
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.1860.300$80.63+$30.65
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET · Down0.6100.000$0.00−$3.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$12.50
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · No0.0200.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET · Up0.4400.000$0.00−$4.44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00−$12.51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET · Up0.5800.000$0.00−$2.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET · Up0.4300.000$0.00−$8.60
XRP Up or Down - September 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00−$2.45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET · Down0.1700.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Down0.9800.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET · Down0.3700.000$0.00−$1.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET · Down0.5200.000$0.00−$13.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET · Up0.6550.000$0.00−$32.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-23 21:26Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?BUY0.1859655028$49.98
10-23 20:59US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?BUY0.59$499.73
10-15 18:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETSELL0.5$2.50
10-15 18:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETBUY0.51$2.55
10-01 17:09Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETBUY0.98$5.00
10-01 16:49Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETBUY0.9699999981$5.00
10-01 16:43Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETBUY0.9699999981$5.00
10-01 16:28Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETBUY0.9699999981$5.00
10-01 16:23Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETBUY0.98$5.00
10-01 16:18Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETBUY0.9699999981$5.00
10-01 16:13Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.98$5.00
10-01 15:59Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.98$5.00
10-01 15:53Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETBUY0.98$5.00
10-01 15:38Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETBUY0.9699999981$5.00
10-01 15:23Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETBUY0.9699999981$5.00