randomuser19
0x9893dd3ae3128f8dbb16575099cd56b33d4f938e
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $21.0k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $182.24
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.438 | 0.110 | $182.24 | −$543.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.676Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$454.62at 0.508Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- +$383.31at 0.689Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- +$324.71at 0.786Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:00 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.8309753846 | $540.13 |
| 09-17 15:20 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.1310614742 | $21.32 |
| 09-17 15:18 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.125 | $8.79 |
| 09-17 15:15 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.1296 | $9.72 |
| 09-13 10:18 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.7791826308 | $506.47 |
| 09-13 10:16 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.23 |
| 06-24 09:57 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.41784 | $104.46 |
| 06-24 09:34 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.469 | $284.16 |
| 06-22 19:08 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.3566640914 | $10.62 |
| 06-22 18:37 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.5109359344 | $44.26 |
| 06-09 09:08 | Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.6804687993 | $1000.00 |
| 12-07 19:41 | Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | SELL | 0.9803658867 | $217.03 |
| 12-07 19:40 | Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | SELL | 0.984 | $4.3k |
| 12-07 15:12 | Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | BUY | 0.7355225601 | $2.1k |
| 12-07 13:59 | Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | BUY | 0.5765166071 | $994.24 |