PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

randomuser19

0x9893dd3ae3128f8dbb16575099cd56b33d4f938e

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$21.0k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$182.24

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration54.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.4380.110$182.24$543.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 16:00Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.8309753846$540.13
09-17 15:20Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.1310614742$21.32
09-17 15:18Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.125$8.79
09-17 15:15Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.1296$9.72
09-13 10:18Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.7791826308$506.47
09-13 10:16Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.45$4.23
06-24 09:57Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.41784$104.46
06-24 09:34Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.469$284.16
06-22 19:08Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.3566640914$10.62
06-22 18:37Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.5109359344$44.26
06-09 09:08Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.6804687993$1000.00
12-07 19:41Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?SELL0.9803658867$217.03
12-07 19:40Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?SELL0.984$4.3k
12-07 15:12Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?BUY0.7355225601$2.1k
12-07 13:59Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?BUY0.5765166071$994.24