0x98937189dD66c67995c75623803964faA172B2ce-1767016674480
0x98937189dd66c67995c75623803964faa172b2ce
- Realised P&L
- $236.38
- Volume
- $70.2k
- Markets traded
- 624
- Open portfolio
- $63.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded624
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$228.23at 0.021Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
- +$115.00at 0.080US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$114.75at 0.080Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$110.11at 0.009Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
- +$108.64at 0.044Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-01 23:09 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $33.26 |
| 03-01 23:09 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.998 | $124.75 |
| 02-16 13:33 | Will Netherlands win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 02-10 22:43 | Will a contestant numbered 176 - 200 win Beast Games: Season 2? | BUY | 0.0236817595 | $1.00 |
| 02-10 22:43 | Will a contestant numbered 126 - 150 win Beast Games: Season 2? | BUY | 0.0088932807 | $1.00 |
| 02-10 22:43 | Will a contestant numbered 101 - 125 win Beast Games: Season 2? | BUY | 0.0101336288 | $1.00 |
| 02-10 22:43 | Will a contestant numbered 76 - 100 win Beast Games: Season 2? | BUY | 0.0346534329 | $1.00 |
| 02-10 22:42 | Will a contestant numbered 51 - 75 win Beast Games: Season 2? | BUY | 0.0210659364 | $1.00 |
| 02-10 22:42 | Will a contestant numbered 26 - 50 win Beast Games: Season 2? | BUY | 0.0166047194 | $1.00 |
| 02-10 22:42 | Will a contestant numbered 1 - 25 win Beast Games: Season 2? | BUY | 0.0083785777 | $1.00 |
| 02-10 22:33 | Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month? | BUY | 0.0342858102 | $2.00 |
| 02-10 22:31 | Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end? | BUY | 0.1028571281 | $6.00 |
| 02-10 22:27 | Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump? | BUY | 0.033881407 | $4.00 |
| 02-10 22:26 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 02-10 22:26 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $8.33 |