jeffreywolfe
0x9885f621fb48c86af59aaa222d78b11373a1808f
- Realised P&L
- $-38.74
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $13.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.705 | $13.87 | −$3.25 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 6? · No | 0.850 | 0.002 | $0.02 | −$12.25 |
| China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli · Flavio Cobolli | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.90at 0.997Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?
- +$3.82at 0.842Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 7, 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.580Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
- +$2.41at 0.833Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?
- +$1.85at 0.828Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:17 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January? | BUY | 0.9779999452 | $5.53 |
| 01-31 13:54 | Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.46 |
| 01-30 15:23 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.93 |
| 01-30 14:10 | Will Solana dip to $80 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.77 |
| 01-30 13:02 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.9969999732 | $34.35 |
| 12-30 13:11 | Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999617 | $15.57 |
| 12-29 20:47 | Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.06 |
| 12-29 19:58 | Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.81 |
| 12-29 19:07 | Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $31.31 |
| 10-31 00:25 | Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.86 |
| 10-30 22:20 | Will XRP reach $3.40 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.03 |
| 10-30 20:55 | Will xAI have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.94 |
| 09-29 09:08 | Will XRP dip to $1.80 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.74 |
| 09-28 23:17 | Will XRP dip to $2.20 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.04 |
| 09-28 21:07 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.9929999998 | $15.26 |