elvanozein
0x987f9b3e77fa04bd40dc08547304ea632c58b37d
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $224.0k
- Markets traded
- 702
- Open portfolio
- $601.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded702
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$433.90at 0.025Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 5?
- +$298.58at 0.252Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 1?
- +$289.12at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 10?
- +$275.39at 0.126Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 6?
- +$236.43at 0.402Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 05:16 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.2541405 | $50.83 |
| 09-17 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.38 | $76.00 |
| 09-17 00:50 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.39 |
| 09-17 00:48 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.539 | $53.90 |
| 09-17 00:41 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.23 | $3.45 |
| 09-16 20:41 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.3034299517 | $62.81 |
| 09-16 20:35 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.3023996774 | $93.74 |
| 09-16 20:34 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.53 | $7.95 |
| 09-16 11:43 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $399.57 |
| 09-15 23:06 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.4 | $120.00 |
| 09-15 11:05 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.26 | $33.80 |
| 09-15 10:52 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $367.53 |
| 09-15 10:51 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $153.17 |
| 09-15 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.90 |
| 09-15 05:20 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.64 | $1.22 |