elvanozein
0x987f9b3e77fa04bd40dc08547304ea632c58b37d
- Realised P&L
- $996.26
- Volume
- $300.8k
- Markets traded
- 933
- Open portfolio
- $79.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded933
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$433.90at 0.025Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 5?
- +$298.58at 0.252Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 1?
- +$289.12at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 10?
- +$275.39at 0.126Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 6?
- +$261.21at 0.346Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:39 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.03 | $4.20 |
| 11-01 22:29 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 11-01 22:27 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.2564285714 | $17.95 |
| 11-01 15:19 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.28 | $28.00 |
| 11-01 15:16 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.08 | $13.60 |
| 11-01 14:17 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.42 | $42.00 |
| 11-01 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.2300655513 | $8.39 |
| 10-31 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.5883066667 | $52.95 |
| 10-31 22:18 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.2499972 | $75.00 |
| 10-31 22:11 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.59 | $88.50 |
| 10-31 13:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.065 | $6.50 |
| 10-31 12:20 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 10-31 00:05 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.43 | $38.70 |
| 10-31 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 22:09 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.42 | $63.00 |