PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Mont1k

0x986f096c2b65ecf22611ab2ae96c968c25a4438b

Realised P&L
$85.47
Volume
$80.9k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? · Yes0.1800.420$420.00+$240.00
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.0510.051$255.10−$2.14
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.4220.175$172.19−$242.74
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.0210.047$117.50+$65.00
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No0.0730.070$105.00−$4.00
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch? · No0.4500.700$7.00+$2.50
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.1100.195$1.95+$0.85
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.3000.180$1.80−$1.20
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.4000.125$1.25−$2.75
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.0250.010$0.70−$1.06
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.3300.013$0.10−$2.49
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No0.1100.000$0.00−$55.00
Over $10M committed to the Makina public sale? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$100.00
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.3060.000$0.00−$305.75
Lighter Airdrop on December 31? · Yes0.0920.000$0.00−$69.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 15:19Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?BUY0.47$47.00
10-29 10:28Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?SELL0.99$211.70
10-28 09:13Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?SELL0.989$0.19
10-26 12:02Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?SELL0.24$53.98
10-26 10:20Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.28$15.80
10-26 09:46Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3$90.00
10-25 14:50Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.098376$24.59
10-25 14:28Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.08$18.56
10-25 14:20Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.025$1.50
10-25 14:19Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.08$1.60
10-08 15:22Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch?SELL0.08$15.84
10-07 08:23Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.3$3.00
07-17 16:46Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?BUY0.1514746$75.74
07-17 08:55Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?BUY0.485$97.00
05-26 19:00Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.41789886$417.90