sshcry
0x986db3cc1972a3f1159c765d8ac27931501fb351
- Realised P&L
- $-429.09
- Volume
- $80.8k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $35.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.059 | $35.70 | +$14.10 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · No | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.92 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.299 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$713.03 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$489.72at 0.620Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
- +$432.81at 0.438Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
- +$378.98at 0.289Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
- +$319.28at 0.307Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?
- +$305.23at 0.364Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 21:15 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.182 | $84.64 |
| 10-09 13:59 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.139 | $9.73 |
| 10-09 05:51 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.5461098114 | $228.77 |
| 10-08 15:43 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.666 | $30.57 |
| 10-05 08:25 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $132.31 |
| 10-04 14:47 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $3.62 |
| 10-02 13:14 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $17.10 |
| 09-23 12:50 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.15 |
| 09-23 12:48 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $6.30 |
| 09-23 05:27 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $53.21 |
| 09-19 08:46 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.076 | $18.24 |
| 09-11 09:03 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $77.83 |
| 09-04 20:03 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $14.98 |
| 07-19 17:18 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.41 | $84.49 |
| 07-19 17:12 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.41 | $42.24 |