Undisputa
0x986c0ba5ae79c5cf171cfa8e85afe186412a3180
- Realised P&L
- $45.9k
- Volume
- $2.79M
- Markets traded
- 1,912
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,912
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-04? · No | 0.952 | 0.961 | $551.01 | +$4.94 |
| Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.550 | 0.555 | $128.70 | +$1.16 |
| Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-04? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.865 | $95.30 | +$2.75 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs · Chicago Cubs | 0.350 | 0.355 | $95.06 | +$1.34 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies | 0.420 | 0.425 | $94.86 | +$1.12 |
| Will Paide Linnameeskond win on 2026-08-06? · No | 0.930 | 0.925 | $14.91 | −$0.08 |
| Will KF Shkëndija 79 win on 2026-08-06? · No | 0.868 | 0.890 | $11.56 | +$0.29 |
| Will Ilves Tampere win on 2026-08-06? · No | 0.950 | 0.964 | $7.61 | +$0.11 |
| Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-08-06? · No | 0.620 | 0.605 | $4.84 | −$0.12 |
| Will NSÍ Runavík win on 2026-08-06? · No | 0.950 | 0.966 | $4.83 | +$0.08 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets · New York Mets | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$359.63 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$131.45 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics · Athletics | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$768.23 |
| Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-17? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$196.76 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$85.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.2kat 0.719Pelicans vs. 76ers
- +$6.0kat 0.300Spurs vs. Grizzlies
- +$5.1kat 0.516Blues vs. Maple Leafs
- +$4.3kat 0.301Hornets vs. Magic
- +$4.3kat 0.462Stars vs. Canadiens
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 04:00 | Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.78 |
| 08-04 04:00 | Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.96 | $12.50 |
| 08-04 03:59 | Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.96 | $12.50 |
| 08-04 03:29 | Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.958 | $12.47 |
| 08-04 00:44 | Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.958 | $12.47 |
| 08-03 13:24 | Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.95 | $12.49 |
| 08-03 12:23 | Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.95 | $12.49 |
| 08-03 12:17 | Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.95 | $12.49 |
| 08-03 12:01 | Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.95 | $12.49 |
| 08-03 11:40 | Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.95 | $12.49 |
| 08-03 11:03 | Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.95 | $12.49 |
| 08-03 03:23 | Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.948 | $12.47 |
| 08-03 03:14 | Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.948 | $4.74 |
| 08-03 01:43 | Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.949 | $12.48 |
| 08-03 01:17 | Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.95 | $12.49 |