SGBEER
0x986aaa6c11a36f1ddc0deefbd4ab52279be3e7c7
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $234.2k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $9.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wonju DB Promy vs. Daegu Pegasus · Wonju DB Promy | 0.999 | 1.000 | $9.7k | +$5.54 |
| Jiangsu Dragons vs. Shenzhen Leopards · Shenzhen Leopards | 0.499 | 0.780 | $58.59 | +$21.06 |
| Jiangsu Dragons vs. Shenzhen Leopards · Jiangsu Dragons | 0.410 | 0.220 | $16.06 | −$13.88 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? · No | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.41 |
| Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings · Seattle Storm | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.3kat 0.645Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks
- +$2.0kat 0.482New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings
- +$1.5kat 0.946Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries
- +$1.2kat 0.951Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx
- +$1.2kat 0.604New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 13:08 | Jiangsu Dragons vs. Shenzhen Leopards | BUY | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 10-19 11:37 | Wonju DB Promy vs. Daegu Pegasus | BUY | 0.999 | $942.87 |
| 10-19 11:31 | Wonju DB Promy vs. Daegu Pegasus | BUY | 0.999 | $4.6k |
| 08-19 03:17 | Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces | BUY | 0.9988841441 | $8.7k |
| 08-19 02:55 | New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky | BUY | 0.03 | $8.85 |
| 08-19 02:46 | New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky | BUY | 0.4 | $4.40 |
| 08-19 02:38 | New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky | BUY | 0.39 | $7.41 |
| 08-19 01:45 | New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky | BUY | 0.62 | $344.10 |
| 08-19 01:44 | New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky | BUY | 0.62 | $592.97 |
| 08-19 01:40 | New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky | BUY | 0.55 | $15.50 |
| 08-19 01:10 | Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo | BUY | 0.971 | $0.56 |
| 08-19 00:55 | Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo | BUY | 0.973 | $4.87 |
| 08-18 03:54 | Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries | BUY | 0.0295454545 | $0.97 |
| 08-18 03:50 | Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries | BUY | 0.025 | $0.25 |
| 08-18 03:40 | Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries | BUY | 0.0196487567 | $9.24 |