PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dsosods

0x9868325cf3760b5256450e561d4ab6095943907e

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$1.91M
Markets traded
6,754
Open portfolio
$19.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,754
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.3711.000$4.35+$2.73
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028? · Yes0.6100.725$2.20+$0.35
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · No0.4400.865$2.11+$1.04
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-03 House seat? · No0.2530.235$1.51$0.11
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 · No0.2900.855$1.31+$0.87
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? · Yes0.1030.089$1.08$0.16
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? · No0.0080.196$0.86+$0.82
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.3880.849$0.85+$0.46
Will USD/CAD hit 1.20 (Low) in 2026? · Yes0.0400.320$0.61+$0.53
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0230.019$0.58$0.10
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.3600.365$0.57+$0.01
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? · Yes0.1410.332$0.48+$0.28
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.0220.144$0.44+$0.37
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0240.013$0.28$0.22
Will Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.1310.168$0.28+$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 20:10Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?SELL0.1419$0.14
08-05 15:20Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?SELL0.1$0.10
08-05 13:41Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?SELL0.3$0.36
08-05 12:57Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?SELL0.001$0.00
08-05 07:33Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?SELL0.018$0.02
08-04 22:55Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028?SELL0.31$0.43
08-04 20:38Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?SELL0.333$0.33
08-04 14:44Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?SELL0.23$0.23
08-04 14:18Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?SELL0.015$0.01
08-04 14:14Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?SELL0.02$0.02
08-04 01:27Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?SELL0.021$0.02
08-03 23:46Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03?SELL0.001$0.00
08-03 23:28Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03?SELL0.00397$0.00
08-03 12:35Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.09$0.09
08-03 04:27Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.08$0.08