0xFCcD9C30b20410c1C4b6620323123A202D7E0954-1767903931969
0x986578ae268ec2eb13c291758b5e8be957ca57ac
- Realised P&L
- $-33.4k
- Volume
- $758.1k
- Markets traded
- 3,175
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,175
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.184Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$1.1kat 0.278Spread: Brazil (-2.5)
- +$1.1kat 0.226Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
- +$906.69at 0.189Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
- +$847.77at 0.195Norway vs. Senegal: Norway O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 05:54 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.07 | $71.00 |
| 10-05 21:24 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.0702463628 | $100.00 |
| 10-05 21:21 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.0675024759 | $100.00 |
| 10-05 20:04 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.1746549896 | $400.00 |
| 10-05 19:21 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.1749231047 | $1.2k |
| 10-04 19:41 | Will Israel win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.06 | $124.50 |
| 10-04 19:40 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.16 | $131.37 |
| 10-03 19:16 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.1899999999 | $156.00 |
| 09-27 18:43 | Spread: Israel (-2.5) | BUY | 0.059671805 | $100.00 |
| 09-26 08:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $237.48 |
| 09-26 08:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4007058492 | $300.00 |
| 09-26 07:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999976 | $300.00 |
| 09-26 07:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.8588345777 | $300.00 |
| 09-26 07:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $300.00 |
| 09-26 06:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6699999994 | $169.37 |