0x985c40103d617f9cc2c6fddb50a3c4419e0179d2
0x985c40103d617f9cc2c6fddb50a3c4419e0179d2
- Realised P&L
- $-3.36
- Volume
- $268.96
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $20.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 18? · Yes | 0.989 | 0.992 | $10.92 | +$0.03 |
| Wuhan Tennis Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Jessica Pegula · Jelena Ostapenko | 0.330 | 0.305 | $10.06 | −$0.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.84at 0.602Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
- +$3.70at 0.502Will Nacional Asuncion win on 2026-10-12?
- +$0.88at 0.916Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
- +$-0.40at 0.642Lisbon: Zhibek Kulambayeva vs Francisca Jorge
- +$-0.56at 0.866Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $397,000 and $407,000 on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 20:24 | Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) | SELL | 0.87 | $16.05 |
| 10-13 20:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.9889999991 | $10.89 |
| 10-13 18:17 | Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5899999816 | $10.89 |
| 10-13 18:16 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Jessica Pegula | BUY | 0.33 | $10.89 |
| 10-13 10:40 | LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs | SELL | 0.48 | $10.67 |
| 10-13 10:32 | Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $397,000 and $407,000 on December 31? | SELL | 0.8289478673 | $10.49 |
| 10-13 03:20 | LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.4899999955 | $10.89 |
| 10-13 01:03 | Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $397,000 and $407,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.8599999921 | $10.89 |
| 10-13 00:35 | Nets vs. Wizards | BUY | 0.7099999615 | $10.89 |
| 10-13 00:00 | Lisbon: Zhibek Kulambayeva vs Francisca Jorge | SELL | 0.63 | $10.89 |
| 10-12 23:23 | Lisbon: Zhibek Kulambayeva vs Francisca Jorge | BUY | 0.629999989 | $10.89 |
| 10-12 23:01 | Will Nacional Asuncion win on 2026-10-12? | SELL | 0.68 | $15.11 |
| 10-12 22:53 | Will Nacional Asuncion win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.4899999955 | $10.89 |
| 10-12 22:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $11.84 |
| 10-12 22:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | BUY | 0.9099999975 | $10.89 |