PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Merk

0x9852dd39e4afdc517de1216f0249545a3e3e111a

Realised P&L
$-45.5k
Volume
$1.09M
Markets traded
610
Open portfolio
$819.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded610
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0950.154$290.53+$110.53
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? · Yes0.1760.227$231.78+$51.78
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0810.111$99.59+$26.59
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0020.004$88.17+$26.19
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0110.021$84.93+$39.97
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0100.005$24.75$20.25
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner · Nigma Galaxy0.3730.000$0.00$273.00
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner · Iron Wing0.5600.000$0.00$150.00
Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$33.00
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-09-04? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$33.00
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners · Chicago Cubs0.4900.000$0.00$200.00
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves · Atlanta Braves0.5600.000$0.00$100.00
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner · Team Yandex0.4960.000$0.00$400.00
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs · Team Yandex0.3100.000$0.00$205.00
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs · Nigma Galaxy0.0800.000$0.00$419.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 18:16Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-09-04?BUY0.1799999959$33.00
09-04 18:16Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?BUY0.2099999952$33.00
08-22 11:45Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.3099999992$205.00
08-22 10:35Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.4797922715$440.00
08-22 09:16Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.5099999995$450.00
08-22 08:15Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.0083554017$36.00
08-22 07:40Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.4$384.00
08-22 06:25Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.4699999993$350.00
08-22 05:17Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.64$300.00
08-21 20:13Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.5899999988$188.98
08-21 20:03Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas RangersBUY0.4399999975$50.00
08-21 20:02Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle MarinersBUY0.4899999991$200.00
08-21 20:02Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.5399999993$200.00
08-21 20:01Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado RockiesBUY0.4199999989$200.00
08-21 20:01Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas RangersBUY0.4399999992$250.00