vvwashere
0x98502f8e0e26ea7fd6cae26575f79e1870252834
- Realised P&L
- $-153.43
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $55.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration46.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.030 | $55.50 | −$129.09 |
| Will Trump launch a coin before the election? · No | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.00 |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? · Yes | 0.305 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.99 |
| Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale? · No | 0.868 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$178.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.56at 0.400Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?
- +$43.22at 0.780Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$38.58at 0.810Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$17.41at 0.876Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$-22.15at 0.590Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-01 20:25 | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.3053936414 | $98.99 |
| 11-18 16:05 | Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale? | BUY | 0.8682491132 | $178.07 |
| 11-18 15:02 | Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale? | SELL | 0.77 | $178.06 |
| 11-18 10:50 | Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale? | BUY | 0.4 | $92.50 |
| 11-04 00:01 | Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.36 |
| 11-04 00:01 | Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0776868733 | $40.00 |
| 11-02 11:33 | Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.119999997 | $32.21 |
| 10-30 12:23 | Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | BUY | 0.8099999994 | $164.49 |
| 10-30 11:59 | Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | SELL | 0.52 | $164.49 |
| 10-30 11:09 | Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | BUY | 0.5899999988 | $186.64 |
| 10-30 05:42 | Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1499999967 | $34.00 |
| 10-30 05:40 | Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | SELL | 0.97 | $220.64 |
| 10-29 14:57 | Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | BUY | 0.7799999962 | $177.42 |
| 10-29 14:57 | Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | SELL | 0.971 | $177.42 |
| 10-28 21:57 | Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | BUY | 0.887888215 | $110.01 |