jamesking1
0x984e73a4d3bcbeb2d9791563d399d0570e0a3910
- Realised P&L
- $-253.88
- Volume
- $110.2k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $381.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.979 | 0.988 | $98.75 | +$0.85 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.920 | 0.983 | $98.30 | +$6.30 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.950 | $94.99 | +$27.00 |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No | 0.790 | 0.865 | $86.50 | +$7.50 |
| Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.001 | $3.19 | −$15.97 |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.42 |
| Bulls vs. Pacers · Bulls | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$61.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.43at 0.788Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$23.31at 0.007Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$15.66at 0.901No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$14.22at 0.920Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?
- +$12.80at 0.900Pelicans vs. Lakers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 01:56 | Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.979 | $97.90 |
| 10-21 01:55 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $67.99 |
| 10-21 01:53 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.35 | $70.00 |
| 08-11 03:49 | Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $19.16 |
| 08-11 03:48 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.79 | $79.00 |
| 08-11 03:48 | Will James Harden play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.989 | $15.33 |
| 08-11 03:46 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.55 | $110.00 |
| 08-11 03:46 | Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.001 | $8.89 |
| 06-21 01:17 | Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.007 | $62.23 |
| 06-21 01:16 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 06-21 01:16 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.78 | $234.00 |
| 06-21 01:14 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.189 | $21.09 |
| 04-11 07:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | BUY | 0.987 | $196.21 |
| 03-31 11:57 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.6510393334 | $72.66 |
| 02-27 15:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.975 | $292.50 |