SlaaneshChosen
0x9848bd562299d884c43388a7c9b0db3cc87df7b0
- Realised P&L
- $337.14
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.820 | $515.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Coventry City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · Yes | 0.751 | 0.755 | $502.54 | +$2.54 |
| Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.835 | $479.88 | −$20.11 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No | 0.820 | 0.935 | $459.81 | +$56.55 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.957 | 0.960 | $240.63 | +$0.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$141.72at 0.640LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
- +$111.15at 0.487LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)
- +$35.06at 0.850LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)
- +$9.60at 0.976Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 04:48 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9569999999 | $240.00 |
| 09-16 08:47 | Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | BUY | 0.8699999995 | $500.00 |
| 09-16 08:42 | Will Coventry City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | BUY | 0.751186182 | $500.00 |
| 09-16 08:31 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | BUY | 0.8199999994 | $500.00 |
| 09-16 06:25 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $15.00 |
| 01-20 10:01 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.82 | $403.26 |
| 11-13 08:39 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BUY | 0.976 | $390.40 |
| 11-09 06:09 | LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | BUY | 0.64 | $251.94 |
| 11-02 09:52 | LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) | SELL | 0.999 | $235.05 |
| 11-02 07:52 | LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) | BUY | 0.8499999998 | $200.00 |
| 10-31 09:01 | LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5) | BUY | 0.4899999993 | $79.92 |
| 10-31 05:22 | LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5) | BUY | 0.4799999963 | $25.82 |