PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

a-g-e-n-t-s

0x9845b1be2bdbc36ab73eb4b4d8ac4ca3c58cbbc2

Realised P&L
$-121.50
Volume
$3.3k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$9.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Michelle Romero win the 2026 Henderson mayoral election? · No0.2900.135$6.10−$7.01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? · No0.7600.755$3.00−$0.02
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026? · No0.3600.000$0.00−$1.19
Will Artyom Zdunov win the 2026 Mordovia gubernatorial elections? · No0.0800.000$0.00−$3.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 14:17Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.707$3.53
07-30 14:17Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.294$1.47
07-30 09:45Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?SELL0.24$15.79
07-30 03:40Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?SELL0.68$19.79
07-29 22:00Iran full airspace closure by August 31?SELL0.6$9.37
07-29 15:55Iran full airspace closure by August 31?SELL0.62$24.24
07-29 09:50Iran full airspace closure by August 31?SELL0.66$36.11
07-28 03:55Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?SELL0.43$19.49
07-28 00:30Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?SELL0.22$5.39
07-27 18:25Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?SELL0.24$7.09
07-25 19:40Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?SELL0.76$31.70
07-25 13:35Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?SELL0.73$6.86
07-25 07:05Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?SELL0.13$13.44
07-24 21:25Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during White House Correspondents Dinner?SELL0.77$24.45
07-24 19:50Team Spoon vs. Team Coop: O/U 279.5SELL0.46$15.57