0x98439b3accedc453a61916bd1e017bcb45c77cc0
0x98439b3accedc453a61916bd1e017bcb45c77cc0
- Realised P&L
- $2.29
- Volume
- $168.78
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $4.54
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.350 | $1.35 | +$0.35 |
| Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.825 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $204 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.615 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.610 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.98at 0.237Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$3.73at 0.217Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of September 28 2026?
- +$3.56at 0.258Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $183 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$3.56at 0.258Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$3.38at 0.268Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 02:30 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $204 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 18:22 | Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 10:12 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 21:50 | Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:29 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 19:56 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 11:56 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 03:51 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 19:51 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 6? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 11:45 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 03:45 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:12 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:23 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 11:30 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:07 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |