FightOdds
0x9840d050cef2298449e384528c7588e73d938b6d
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $29.0k
- Markets traded
- 126
- Open portfolio
- $109.10
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded126
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.018 | $103.22 | +$8.37 |
| Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.235 | $5.88 | +$3.13 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO? · No | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.00 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$101.47 |
| UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims) · Julian Erosa | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$52.98 |
| Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO? · No | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$287.31at 0.200UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Amosov (Welterweight, Main Card)
- +$247.79at 0.249UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$225.67at 0.479UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$192.38at 0.457Will the fight be won by submission?
- +$168.72at 0.567UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 18:53 | Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.49 | $122.50 |
| 08-22 15:30 | UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.24 | $79.20 |
| 07-26 17:33 | Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.017 | $94.85 |
| 07-16 03:30 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.2899285714 | $101.47 |
| 07-15 02:40 | Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.75 |
| 07-11 05:39 | Fight to Go the Distance? | BUY | 0.79 | $102.70 |
| 06-26 21:39 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.9 | $57.05 |
| 06-14 16:58 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 06-14 16:58 | Will the fight be won by submission? | BUY | 0.8316831478 | $37.68 |
| 06-14 16:57 | Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.8299999943 | $54.00 |
| 06-14 16:52 | Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 06-14 16:45 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.6699999976 | $58.00 |
| 05-09 17:21 | UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.56 | $218.40 |
| 05-09 17:15 | Will the fight be won by submission? | SELL | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 05-09 15:25 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |