PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

branbarry

0x9836fd60f93edd979aca16a287fa212062857101

Realised P&L
$-3.7k
Volume
$51.3k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$55.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026? · No0.2300.225$9.96−$0.22
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2770.281$9.11+$0.11
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 18? · Yes0.0630.065$7.68+$0.15
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? · No0.7900.695$7.01−$0.96
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 19? · No0.5600.570$5.09+$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 19? · No0.4400.610$4.03+$1.12
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? · Yes0.4500.395$3.38−$0.47
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October? · Yes0.5900.585$2.59−$0.02
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 18? · Yes0.1900.290$1.95+$0.67
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? · Yes0.7300.685$1.86−$0.12
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? · Yes0.0990.092$1.84−$0.14
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 12-18? · Yes0.0310.042$1.22+$0.32
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open? · Yes0.4770.000$0.00−$4.5k
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00−$29.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 09:33Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 18?SELL0.29$1.95
10-18 09:09Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18?SELL0.22$3.67
10-18 07:44Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18?BUY0.4599999736$7.67
10-18 07:42Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 19?BUY0.4399999577$2.91
10-18 07:40Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 18?SELL0.027568451$1.75
10-18 07:18Exact Score: CF Cruz Azul 2 - 2 FC Juárez?BUY0.001$13.61
10-18 07:18Exact Score: CF Cruz Azul 2 - 0 FC Juárez?BUY0.001$13.61
10-18 05:27Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?BUY0.7299999373$1.98
10-18 05:27Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 18?BUY0.1899999948$2.55
10-18 05:27Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?BUY0.5899999751$2.61
10-18 05:23Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 18?BUY0.0239999997$1.52
10-18 05:23Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 18?BUY0.08$1.53
10-18 05:14Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?BUY0.099$1.98
10-18 05:12Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on October 18?SELL0.67$8.66
10-18 05:10Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 12-18?SELL0.0391722356$1.14