PolyBot

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Traders

MX123

0x982ac14bc650021df281e1485e0cb5f91241f47a

Realised P&L
$-132.33
Volume
$24.2k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$17.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.2200.070$12.43$26.57
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2480.115$4.63$5.37
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$70.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET · Down0.5740.000$0.00$48.12
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$9.88
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$20.00
Will Trump visit China by April 30? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$8.00
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026? · Yes0.3460.000$0.00$82.51
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31? · No0.3890.000$0.00$150.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$15.00
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? · Yes0.2370.000$0.00$150.00
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1920.000$0.00$46.88
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31? · No0.3520.000$0.00$27.60
Will another country strike Iran by March 31? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$20.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 15:41Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2482701159$10.00
07-23 17:33Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.0209999986$15.00
07-19 22:09Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$96.36
07-19 19:23Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.0999599494$30.00
07-19 19:21Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6219999994$60.00
07-19 19:17Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?SELL0.9880336949$290.59
06-26 16:52Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.2197183099$39.00
06-17 20:17Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.679999999$200.00
06-17 20:14Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?BUY0.0261666358$9.88
06-17 20:13Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0477137132$10.00
06-17 20:12U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?BUY0.0247346534$20.00
06-14 13:57Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?BUY0.1799999965$40.00
06-14 13:55Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?SELL0.0331716394$26.62
06-10 20:55Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.0436200557$35.00
06-08 21:04Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?BUY0.31$6.88