Stalker23b
0x981c7ea37c09cf15fa77b257d4acff24f1fb5cc7
- Realised P&L
- $-676.18
- Volume
- $330.6k
- Markets traded
- 221
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded221
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.4kat 0.190US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$472.73at 0.774Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
- +$392.70at 0.870US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$379.81at 0.743Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
- +$320.50at 0.358Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:45 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $99.33 |
| 11-01 12:43 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.981 | $122.63 |
| 11-01 12:43 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.979 | $122.38 |
| 11-01 12:43 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.977 | $136.78 |
| 11-01 12:43 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.971 | $194.20 |
| 11-01 12:43 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.967 | $241.75 |
| 11-01 12:43 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.96951692 | $242.38 |
| 11-01 08:30 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.978 | $136.92 |
| 11-01 08:30 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $122.50 |
| 11-01 08:29 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.98 | $122.50 |
| 11-01 08:29 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.971 | $194.20 |
| 11-01 08:29 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.97091384 | $242.73 |
| 11-01 08:28 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.964 | $241.00 |
| 11-01 08:28 | Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $246.00 |
| 10-31 09:39 | Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $38.41 |