0bt
0x98135d1686d3a6b9887eaa782f51a949a58a8aae
- Realised P&L
- $-6.74
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $204.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · No | 0.592 | 0.645 | $104.50 | +$8.65 |
| Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.013 | $100.00 | −$60.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-4.12at 0.420Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 12:33 | Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.0159216039 | $69.47 |
| 09-02 12:32 | Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.0053651002 | $1.47 |
| 09-02 12:30 | Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.0147776064 | $2.68 |
| 09-02 12:25 | Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.0129999892 | $1.20 |
| 05-29 16:21 | Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.4045107485 | $67.18 |
| 05-29 15:50 | Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.54 | $12.28 |
| 05-26 19:26 | Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.6 | $8.94 |
| 05-26 18:58 | Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.41 | $68.09 |