0x9812127b5f7c5c5fd012320cc316c7b6b111913d
0x9812127b5f7c5c5fd012320cc316c7b6b111913d
- Realised P&L
- $-30.04
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 203
- Open portfolio
- $13.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded203
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.43at 0.320Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 4?
- +$32.72at 0.365Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 3?
- +$26.59at 0.440Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?
- +$24.95at 0.400Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 1?
- +$23.82at 0.398Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 10:11 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C or higher on September 24? | SELL | 0.999 | $24.98 |
| 09-23 20:30 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.999 | $22.98 |
| 09-15 18:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.56 | $3.36 |
| 09-15 18:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $3.36 |
| 09-15 18:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.72 | $5.03 |
| 09-15 17:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.23 | $1.61 |
| 09-15 17:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.71 | $4.97 |
| 09-15 17:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.23 | $1.61 |
| 09-15 17:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $4.90 |
| 09-15 17:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.23 | $1.38 |
| 09-15 17:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.68 | $4.08 |
| 09-15 16:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $5.82 |
| 09-15 16:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.67 | $4.02 |
| 09-15 13:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $6.00 |
| 09-15 08:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.56 | $6.72 |