PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

penguin-1

0x98118ccf677119f4e8c4ea9e39068c591a3ea5f8

Realised P&L
$-951.85
Volume
$54.6k
Markets traded
395
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded395
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 2? · No0.9901.000$364.49+$3.46
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 2? · No0.9901.000$318.15+$3.02
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on November 2? · No0.9901.000$303.33+$2.88
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 2? · No0.9901.000$151.44+$1.44
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 4°C on November 2? · No0.9901.000$94.77+$0.90
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on November 2? · No0.9941.000$67.96+$0.37
Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on November 2? · No0.9901.000$14.99+$0.14
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? · Yes0.6200.630$1.90+$0.03
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat? · Yes0.2390.595$1.82+$1.09
Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat? · Yes0.7050.405$1.24−$0.92
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat? · Yes0.3400.375$1.13+$0.11
Will the Republican Party win the CA-35 House seat? · Yes0.0210.001$0.06−$2.56
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting? · Yes0.3260.000$0.00−$54.44
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the July meeting? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 06:04Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 4°C on November 2?BUY0.99$93.87
11-02 06:01Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 2?BUY0.99$111.03
11-02 06:01Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 2?BUY0.9899999981$250.00
11-02 04:04Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 2?BUY0.9899999968$150.00
11-02 03:34Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on November 2?BUY0.996$14.94
11-02 03:33Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on November 2?BUY0.9892307692$12.86
11-02 03:33Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on November 2?BUY0.9948867217$39.79
11-02 00:59Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 2?BUY0.99$15.36
11-02 00:59Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 2?BUY0.99$49.89
11-02 00:58Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 2?BUY0.9899999342$5.57
11-02 00:58Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 2?BUY0.99$244.30
11-02 00:00Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on November 2?BUY0.99$50.46
11-02 00:00Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on November 2?BUY0.989999998$234.15
11-02 00:00Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on November 2?BUY0.99$15.84
11-01 20:58Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 1?BUY0.995$235.18